If you'll check my picks for the games, you can verify I'm not smart. Consider:
Last week the Jaguars lost by 20 points to the Houston Texans. This week, they played without their starting QB and ran the ball all over the Philadelphia Eagles and shut down Donovan McNabb for the most part, who's an MVP candidate at this point in a 13-6 win. The Texans are 2-5 (and lost to Tennessee) while the Eagles drop to 4-4.
A few weeks ago it took the Chicago Bears three (3) non-offensive TDs and a late missed FG to eek out a 24-23 win over the Arizona Cardinals. Since then, the Cardinals have lost to the previously winless Oakland Raiders and then were handily beat by the 3-4 Green Bay Packers. The Chicago Bears led their game 41-0 at the half.
Speaking of the Raiders, a couple weeks they looked like they might have a shot at going 16-0... now they stand at 2-5... the same record as the defending Super Bowl Champion Pittsburgh Steelers.
Mike Vick has thrown 7 TD passes in 2 games.
The NFL. I don't understand it. I just watch it.